Трамп сказал, что он прекратит отношения США с ВОЗ. Вот что это значит

The World Well being Organization has driven the costs leading to some of the 20th century’s ideal public effectively being triumphs. And throughout WHO’s 72-twelve months history, the U.S. has been the group’s star player, coach, and largest sponsor. At some level of the WHO’s latest funding cycle, the U.S. contributed $893 million—15% of your entire budget and more than twice as grand as every other nation. That has been the norm for a long time and attach the U.S. at the center of the arena’s most major public-effectively being apparatus.

Then came Donald Trump and COVID-19.

On April 14, in which time it had turn out to be determined the viral illness had inextricably burrowed into the U.S. populace, the Presidentalleged at a press conventionthat the coronavirus’ spread in the nation changed into once likely the WHO’s fault, no longer his Administration’s. “I am instructing my Administration to finish funding of the World Well being Organization whereas a overview is conducted to evaluate the World Well being Organization’s purpose in severely mismanaging and preserving up the spread of the coronavirus,” he acknowledged. “Everyone is aware of what’s occurring there.” About a month later, on Can also 18, he expounded on that “what” in aletterto WHO Director Popular Dr. Tedros Adhanom, making a series of allegations—manycounterfeit or deceptive—in regards to the group’s efforts in the early days of the pandemic. Trump concluded that if the WHO did no longer commit to “major substantive improvements contained in the following 30 days,” he would make the short freeze of U.S. funding to WHO everlasting, and “rethink” membership in the group.

Trump did no longer specify what improvements he wished to note. Irrespective of everything, on Can also 29, in a speech in the White Dwelling Rose Backyard, the President acknowledged the U.S. would discontinuance its relationship with the WHO.

A U.S. president cannot snap their fingers and slash this relation;below U.S. lawsthe nation must give the WHO a twelve months’s seek for, and must meet its monetary obligations to the group for the novel twelve months. So, as a minimum, nothing would indubitably substitute till mid-2021—in which level Trump might maybe perchance well simply now no longer be President and his successor might maybe perchance well simply revoke the resolution—and till the U.S. can repay the$60 million it currently owes the WHO.

Nonetheless, Trump’s rhetoric has already had an impact on the WHO’s operation: negotiations for contemporary funding are currently on preserve, says Imre Hollo, director of planning, handy resource coordination and performance monitoring for the group. And whereas nearly all of WHO applications were pre-funded via 2020, the group anticipates feeling the funding gap “more totally in 2021,” says Hollo as different its contemporary monetary agreements attain to an conclude at some level this twelve months. Irrespective of that, he stays optimistic that the WHO will patch up its relationship with the U.S.; so is his boss, Dr. Tedros, who acknowledged on June 1, “The sphere has long benefited from the solid, collaborative engagement with the authorities and the oldsters of the US…. It’s WHO’s wish for this collaboration to proceed.”

If it doesn’t, there would be some determined and specific impacts on the worldwide effort to give a boost to public effectively being. In nice phrases, the WHO’s funding might maybe additionally be broken down into two classes: “assessed” and “voluntary” contributions. Assessed contributions are the dues every nation can pay to be segment of the WHO, and are obvious, form of, by every nation’s defective national earnings, population and debt. For WHO’s 2018-2019 funding cycle, the U.S. received by a ways the arena’s biggest invoice, at about $237 million.

However in all chance more major to the technique forward for the WHO and global public effectively being are the voluntary contributions. For 2018-2019, the U.S. voluntarily added some $656 million to the WHO’s coffers, nearly twice as grand as every other nation.

Unlike the assessed dollars, which bound into the novel WHO pot and are spent at the group’s discretion, voluntary contributions might maybe additionally be earmarked by the giver for specific uses. As an example, the U.S. attach some $166 million in direction of polio eradication all over 2018-19 and has funded the effort with an identical enthusiasm for years—one of many necessary the causes why the arena is actually a few dozen cases away from entire eradication. A quantity of benefactors comparable to the U.K, The Gates Foundation and Rotary Worldwide additionally commit contributions particularly for WHO’s polio work, indubitably, nonetheless were would the effort be can need to aloof the U.S. recede?

Worse off aloof is probably going to be the applications geared in direction of preventative care. The U.S., as an illustration, accounts for over 40% of the WHO’s budget to “elevate access to essential effectively being and nutrition companies”—and the final U.S. contributions to that program are voluntary. Programs that pay consideration on tropical illness review, HIV and hepatitis, and tuberculosis are other likely victims if the U.S. does withdraw from WHO. “It’s step by step easy to fundraise for dread,” says Hollo. “It’s hard to fundraise for preparedness.”

The impacts wouldn’t be felt factual in a foreign nation. Were the U.S. to circulation away the WHO, scientists and public effectively being officers in the states would without warning fetch themselves minimize off from some of essential global effectively being verbal substitute channels. You don’t must watch too a ways into the previous to note how this might maybe perchance well play out: In the early days of COVID-19, “no longer the final recordsdata from China changed into once public. It changed into once shared amongst the WHO member states in the begin earlier than it changed into once attach out in public bulletins,” says Amanda Glassman, govt vp of the Heart for World Construction, a nonprofit snarl tank, That recordsdata, in conception, can need to aloof have enabled U.S. effectively being infrastructure to without warning spring into bound, and buy steps to mitigate the worst viral outcomes. It didn’t obviously, nonetheless that failure can infrequently be pinned on the WHO.

“Nobody’s announcing that the group is supreme, nonetheless it works to boot to it can probably well,” says Glassman. In a roundabout scheme, the U.S. must cooperate with other countries to give protection to American citizens against global effectively being threats, she says. “We need to negotiate, to focus on with them, to procure into them, and to work collectively. The WHO is the technique to rating that.”

A version of this yarn appears to be like in the June 15, 2020, disclose of TIME.

Contact usateditors@time.com.